Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
3%
Snapshot Δ
-12.0¢
Volume
$127.0K
Snapshot path
41% → 28%range 28–41% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.