StratosAmber

Intelligence

  • Intelligence
  • Live Events
  • Markets
  • Scenarios
  • Watchlist
  • Briefings
  • Search
  • About

Geo intel · Polymarket

Structured assessments for prediction-market traders

—:—:— UTC

Critical theatres active

Search⌘Ki
← Markets

Trump out as President before 2027?

Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.

Implied Yes

7%

Snapshot Δ

-2.0¢

Volume

$10.5M

Snapshot path

10% → 8%range 8–10% · 40 pts

Why it moved

Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.

Heuristic

Evidence supporting Yes / No

Supports Yes (escalatory / affirmative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Supports No (de-escalatory / negative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Current catalysts

No catalysts derived.

Related markets

No related markets.

Continue on Polymarket →

StratosAmber adds the intelligence layer. We do not execute trades.