Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
6%
Snapshot Δ
-2.0¢
Volume
$11.7M
Snapshot path
10% → 8%range 8–10% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.