Will Alberta join the US?

Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.

Implied Yes

Snapshot Δ

-1.1¢

Volume

$2.2M

Snapshot path

2% → 1%range 1–2% · 40 pts

Why it moved

No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.

Heuristic

Evidence supporting Yes / No

Supports Yes (escalatory / affirmative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Supports No (de-escalatory / negative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Current catalysts

No catalysts derived.

Related markets

No related markets.

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