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Geo intel · Polymarket

Structured assessments for prediction-market traders

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Critical theatres active

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India–Pakistan / Kashmir

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.

Implied Yes

0%

Snapshot Δ

-2.2¢

Volume

$83.8K

Snapshot path

3% → 1%range 1–7% · 40 pts

Why it moved

Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.

Heuristic

Evidence supporting Yes / No

Supports Yes (escalatory / affirmative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Supports No (de-escalatory / negative cues)

No keyword-matched items.

Current catalysts

No catalysts derived.

Related markets

No related markets.

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