Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
9%
Snapshot Δ
-11.0¢
Volume
$501.4K
Snapshot path
74% → 63%range 63–74% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.