Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
+3.5¢
Volume
$114.9K
Snapshot path
19% → 22%range 14–35% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.