Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-4.3¢
Volume
$1.8M
Snapshot path
8% → 3%range 3–8% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.