Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
7%
Snapshot Δ
-5.5¢
Volume
$11.7K
Snapshot path
11% → 6%range 6–11% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.