Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
4%
Snapshot Δ
-3.5¢
Volume
$11.9K
Snapshot path
7% → 3%range 3–7% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.