Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
55%
Snapshot Δ
+10.0¢
Volume
$11.1K
Snapshot path
64% → 74%range 64–74% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.