Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-0.4¢
Volume
$8.5M
Snapshot path
1% → 0%range 0–1% · 24 pts
Why it moved
No significant attributed move in the recent snapshot window. Monitor catalysts below.