Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
22%
Snapshot Δ
+4.5¢
Volume
$7.6K
Snapshot path
38% → 43%range 38–52% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.