Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
89%
Snapshot Δ
+2.5¢
Volume
$9.3K
Snapshot path
82% → 85%range 82–87% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.