Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
20%
Snapshot Δ
+12.0¢
Volume
$580.6K
Snapshot path
30% → 42%range 30–47% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.