Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
12%
Snapshot Δ
-5.0¢
Volume
$40.6K
Snapshot path
20% → 14%range 14–20% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.