Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
14%
Snapshot Δ
+4.0¢
Volume
$910.2K
Snapshot path
28% → 32%range 28–32% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.