Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
28%
Snapshot Δ
-6.0¢
Volume
$74.0K
Snapshot path
33% → 27%range 25–33% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.