Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
18%
Snapshot Δ
-9.0¢
Volume
$1.0M
Snapshot path
44% → 35%range 34–44% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.