Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
2%
Snapshot Δ
-4.0¢
Volume
$913.0K
Snapshot path
12% → 8%range 8–12% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.