Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
9%
Snapshot Δ
-4.0¢
Volume
$2.1M
Snapshot path
21% → 17%range 17–21% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.