Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
32%
Snapshot Δ
-3.5¢
Volume
$90.0K
Snapshot path
39% → 36%range 35–43% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.