Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-4.7¢
Volume
$859
Snapshot path
5% → 0%range 0–5% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.