Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-3.0¢
Volume
$116.5K
Snapshot path
12% → 9%range 9–18% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.