Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-5.0¢
Volume
$11.8M
Snapshot path
14% → 9%range 9–22% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.