Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-6.1¢
Volume
$126.6K
Snapshot path
8% → 1%range 1–8% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.