Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
25%
Snapshot Δ
-9.0¢
Volume
$870
Snapshot path
33% → 24%range 24–35% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.