Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
14%
Snapshot Δ
-3.0¢
Volume
$12.4K
Snapshot path
19% → 16%range 16–20% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.