Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
28%
Snapshot Δ
-4.5¢
Volume
$5.3K
Snapshot path
66% → 61%range 61–66% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.