Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Polymarket prices are venue-implied. “Why it moved” uses snapshot deltas without a matched news attribution. Yes/No evidence lists are keyword heuristics on fused items — not resolution criteria.
Implied Yes
0%
Snapshot Δ
-19.1¢
Volume
$1.4M
Snapshot path
20% → 1%range 0–25% · 40 pts
Why it moved
Material snapshot change without matched fused-news attribution.